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The Dow Jones Industrial Average:
Economic Indicator for Over A Century

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 MarketWatch

We’ve all heard “the Dow is up” or “the Dow is down” at some point in our lives, even though we might not have fully understood exactly what it meant at the time. Whether you know it as “The Dow Jones Industrial Average,” the “Industrial Average,” the “Dow 30,” or simply as the “Dow,” the Dow has shown how 30 large, publicly owned U.S. companies have performed during a trading session for over one hundred ten years. Theoretically, how these 30 stocks perform should represent the entire market. By tracking the fluctuations in both good times and bad, the Dow gives an important insight to investors into the ever-changing financial landscape.

Dow Jones History

The Dow was founded by Charles Dow in May of 1896, making it the oldest stock index still in use today. It got its name from its founder as well as his business associate, statistician Edward Jones. They decided to use twelve of the leading U.S. industrial companies, thinking that these companies would be an excellent indicator of the U.S. economy. Out of the twelve original stocks, only one is still currently part of the index today – General Electric. Since its origin the Dow has since grown to represent 30 companies, and although the Dow does not represent industrial companies any longer, they have retained the “Industrial Average” name.

Dow Jones Components

Some of the current components of the Dow are companies like American Express, Coca-Cola, Boeing, Pfizer, United Technologies, Caterpillar, Verizon, McDonald’s, and Wal-Mart. Only one of the original 12 components of the Dow is still a part of the index (General Electric), and the remaining 29 can change as market conditions warrant. For example, in 2008 Kraft Foods replaced AIG, and Chevron and Bank of America replaced Altria Group and Honeywell. When changes like this occur, the scale factor used to calculate the index is also adjusted so as to not directly affect the average.

Dow Jones Fluctuations

Similar to all other stock market indices, the Dow also goes through periods of increase and decrease. Bull markets and bear markets are just a part of the game with bull markets indicating price increases while a bear market indicates price decreases. Some of the most notable gains and losses occurred in years like 1929, when the Dow erased 36 years of gains dropping to its lowest point since its inception, or in 1982 when it was at just 777 and grew to over 11,000 in 2000.

Criticism of the Dow Jones

Many critics believe that only including 30 stocks does not paint a very accurate picture of the overall market performance. However, the Dow still remains to be one of the most cited and recognized stock market indices. Critics, like Ric Edelman, think that the Dow should take on a “float-adjusted market-value” like the S&P 500 for a more accurate financial picture within the United States. The Dow currently uses a price-weighted average, giving higher priced stocks more control over the average than its lower-priced equivalent.

Dow Jones Calculations

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is calculated by dividing the sum of the prices of all 30 stocks by the Dow Divisor. The Dow Divisor is adjusted for events like stock splits or structural changes so that they do not alter the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Originally the Dow Divisor was 12, the number of component companies, making it a simple arithmetic average. When changes in the list of companies making up the index alter the sum of the component prices, the Dow Divisor must be updated in order to avoid discontinuity within the index.

The Wall Street Journal

Acquiring its name from the heart of the New York financial district, the Wall Street Journal has been in circulation since July 8, 1889. The Wall Street Journal, or WSJ, covers financial news and issues as well as U.S. and international business. The Audit Bureau of Circulations says it is the largest circulation of any newspaper in the U.S., having 2.1 million printed copies (including 400,000 paid online subscriptions). It is published by Dow Jones & Company in New York City and has European and Asian editions. The WSJ has gone through some major changes over the years, expanding to including its content on the internet (for paid subscribers) and changing decades old layouts to save money. It has won 33 Pulitzer Prizes, most recently in 2007 for its reporting of backdated stock options and the adverse effect of China’s thriving economy.

Barron’s Magazine

Barron’s Magazine has been published by Dow Jones & Company since 1921. It got its name from one of the most influential people in the history of the Dow, Clarence W. Barron. Barron’s Magazine has four sections: Technology Week, Market Week, Mutual Funds, and The Wrap. It covers the previous week’s market activity and gives an insightful look at the week to come. Barron’s is known to be harsh when assessing corporate prospects, and is well-known for reporting stock fraud.

by Steve "AmCy" Brown, FedPrimeRate.comSM










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